Alternate Timelines

What If Chongqing Developed Different Urban Planning Approaches?

Exploring the alternate timeline where China's mountain megacity adopted alternative urban designs, potentially transforming it into a model of sustainable vertical urbanism rather than following conventional development patterns.

The Actual History

Chongqing, often called the "Mountain City," represents one of China's most distinctive urban environments and development stories. Nestled at the confluence of the Yangtze and Jialing rivers in southwestern China, the city's unique topography of mountains, valleys, and rivers has presented extraordinary challenges and opportunities for urban planners since it became a direct-administered municipality in 1997.

Before its municipal upgrade, Chongqing served as a significant but less prominent regional center. During World War II, it briefly became China's wartime capital after the fall of Nanjing to Japanese forces. This period saw a massive influx of refugees, factories, and government functions, straining the city's limited infrastructure. After the war, Chongqing returned to relative obscurity until China's economic reforms beginning in the late 1970s.

The watershed moment in Chongqing's modern development came with the Three Gorges Dam project, initiated in 1994. This massive hydroelectric project would eventually displace over 1.3 million people, many of whom were relocated to Chongqing. In 1997, recognizing the city's strategic importance, the central government separated Chongqing from Sichuan Province, creating China's fourth direct-administered municipality (after Beijing, Shanghai, and Tianjin). This administrative change granted Chongqing provincial-level autonomy and access to significant development resources.

The elevation to municipal status coincided with China's "Go West" development strategy launched in 1999, aiming to reduce economic disparities between eastern coastal regions and the western interior. As a flagship of this policy, Chongqing received substantial investment for infrastructure development and industrial expansion.

Chongqing's urban planning from the late 1990s through the 2010s broadly followed conventional Chinese development models, prioritizing rapid GDP growth through industrial expansion, massive infrastructure projects, and extensive new construction. The city expanded on multiple fronts: building new business districts, creating industrial zones, constructing high-rise residential areas, and developing transportation networks. The distinctive "Two Wings" development strategy focused on expanding both the Liangjiang New Area to the north and the Chengdu-Chongqing economic corridor to the west.

The city's mountainous topography forced some adaptations to the standard Chinese development template. Lacking sufficient flat land, Chongqing constructed buildings on precipitous slopes, carved roads into mountainsides, and built numerous bridges spanning its rivers and valleys. This produced a distinctive three-dimensional cityscape with roads at multiple levels, buildings clinging to hillsides, and a famously complex network of overpasses and elevated highways.

Transportation planning reflected both conventional approaches and topographical necessities. The city built an extensive network of tunnels, bridges, elevated highways, and eventually, a comprehensive metro system. Chongqing's iconic transportation solution was its aerial tramway system and later monorail lines that navigated the challenging terrain where conventional subway construction proved difficult.

By the 2020s, Chongqing had transformed into a sprawling megacity of over 31 million people (though only about 8-9 million in the urban core). While its dramatic mountain-and-river setting created a visually striking urban environment, the city faced significant challenges: traffic congestion, air pollution, inefficient land use, social segregation, and the environmental impacts of rapid development on the surrounding ecosystem.

The city's planning approach prioritized functional separation of uses, large-scale development blocks, automotive infrastructure, and modernist high-rise buildings—all common features of Chinese urban development in the early 21st century. While Chongqing's distinct topography forced certain innovations, its fundamental planning philosophy remained aligned with China's growth-oriented development model rather than embracing its unique geographical character as a foundation for a truly distinctive urban form.

The Point of Divergence

What if Chongqing had pursued radically different urban planning approaches when it became a direct-administered municipality in 1997? In this alternate timeline, we explore a scenario where Chongqing's leadership, recognizing the city's extraordinary topographical constraints and opportunities, made a bold decision to reject conventional Chinese development models in favor of creating a globally unique mountain megacity—one that worked with rather than against its geography.

Several plausible triggers could have initiated this divergence:

First, the leadership transition in Chongqing coinciding with its new municipal status could have brought visionary urban thinkers to power. Perhaps alternative officials with backgrounds in environmental design or sustainable development might have been appointed to key positions, bringing different perspectives on urban growth. As a direct-administered municipality enjoying significant autonomy, Chongqing had unusual freedom to experiment with planning approaches.

Second, the planning process for resettling 1.3 million Three Gorges Dam migrants could have catalyzed innovation. The unprecedented challenge of accommodating these displaced communities might have prompted planners to reconsider fundamental assumptions about urban design. Rather than simply expanding conventional housing blocks, planners might have seized this opportunity to pioneer new approaches to mountain urbanism.

Third, international influence could have played a decisive role. In this alternate timeline, Chongqing might have formed partnerships with cities facing similar topographical challenges—Hong Kong, Rio de Janeiro, Medellín, or cities in the Alps and Andes—creating a knowledge-sharing network for mountain urban development. Perhaps a high-profile international design competition in the late 1990s attracted visionary proposals that captured both public and political imagination.

Finally, economic calculations might have driven this divergence. Conventional urban development requires massive earth-moving operations in mountainous terrain—costly and environmentally destructive. A forward-thinking administration might have conducted cost-benefit analyses demonstrating that geography-responsive planning would yield significant long-term economic advantages through reduced infrastructure costs and enhanced environmental resilience.

In this alternate timeline, these factors converged around 1997-1999, leading Chongqing to adopt a comprehensive planning philosophy based on three radical principles: vertical urbanism that embraced the three-dimensional nature of the landscape; ecological integration that preserved natural systems; and transit-oriented development centered on innovative public transportation networks suited to mountainous terrain. Rather than attempting to flatten mountains and fill valleys, Chongqing chose to become a global laboratory for mountain urbanism—a decision that would reshape not only the city but potentially urban development models throughout China and beyond.

Immediate Aftermath

Early Planning and International Attention (1997-2000)

In the immediate aftermath of the divergence, Chongqing's leadership established a special planning authority independent from conventional bureaucratic structures. This Mountain City Planning Commission assembled interdisciplinary teams of urban designers, landscape architects, ecologists, transportation engineers, and social scientists. Their mandate was clear: create a comprehensive plan embracing Chongqing's mountainous identity while accommodating rapid growth.

The decision to pursue an alternative development path initially met resistance from central authorities and traditional developers accustomed to conventional approaches. However, the planning commission shrewdly framed their strategy as advancing President Jiang Zemin's "Three Represents" concept by incorporating cutting-edge international expertise while addressing local conditions—a politically savvy approach that secured crucial high-level support.

By 1999, the commission completed a radical master plan that divided the city into a network of semi-autonomous "mountain neighborhoods"—compact mixed-use districts built at different elevations, each preserving the existing topography while maximizing density in suitable areas. This approach rejected the typical Chinese superblock development pattern in favor of smaller, interconnected urban units.

The plan generated immediate international attention. Major architectural publications featured Chongqing's visionary approach, and delegations from mountainous cities worldwide began visiting to study this emerging model. Several prominent international architects and planners relocated to Chongqing, attracted by the opportunity to participate in this unprecedented urban experiment.

Transportation Revolution (2000-2003)

Transportation planning became the first visible manifestation of Chongqing's new approach. Rather than prioritizing road construction for private vehicles, planners focused on creating a multi-layered public transportation network that leveraged the city's three-dimensional landscape.

The city rapidly expanded its historic cable car system, transforming it from a limited tourist attraction into a comprehensive transportation network linking neighborhoods at different elevations. Engineers developed new, high-capacity aerial tramway systems capable of moving thousands of passengers hourly between mountain neighborhoods.

Simultaneously, Chongqing pioneered "vertical public transport"—a network of public elevators, escalators, and funiculars integrated into the urban fabric. The first major implementation came in 2002 with the Jiefangbei Vertical Transport Hub, which connected neighborhoods at three different elevations through a combination of escalators and elevators within a mixed-use complex.

For horizontal movement, rather than focusing exclusively on subway lines (which faced significant engineering challenges in the mountainous terrain), Chongqing developed an extensive monorail network that could navigate steep gradients and tight turns. The first line opened in 2002, earlier than in our timeline, and demonstrated the viability of monorails as primary mass transit in mountainous settings.

Where roads were necessary, engineers designed them to follow topographical contours rather than cutting straight paths through mountains. This "contour road" approach reduced earthmoving costs while creating a distinctive, organically curving street pattern that became a signature of Chongqing's urban aesthetic.

Three Gorges Resettlement Innovation (2001-2005)

The relocation of Three Gorges Dam migrants became a crucial testing ground for Chongqing's new urban principles. Rather than housing displaced communities in conventional apartment blocks, planners created a series of "New Mountain Villages"—medium-density settlements designed to maintain some continuity with rural lifestyles while providing urban amenities.

These settlements featured terraced housing following the natural topography, community agriculture integrated into the design, and small-scale manufacturing facilities that allowed migrants to continue traditional crafts or develop new skills. The Wanzhou Mountain Community, completed in 2003, became the most successful example, winning international awards for its innovative approach to resettlement.

This resettlement approach not only improved outcomes for migrants but also preserved cultural traditions that might otherwise have been lost. The integration of agriculture into urban design—through terraced fields, community gardens, and green roofs—became a defining characteristic of Chongqing's development pattern, improving food security and maintaining connections to rural traditions.

Economic and Administrative Adaptations (2002-2005)

Chongqing's alternative approach required significant adjustments to economic and administrative frameworks. The city introduced specialized zoning regulations that incentivized geography-responsive development while penalizing excessive earth-moving and environmental disruption. Tax incentives rewarded developers who preserved natural features, integrated public transportation, and created mixed-use districts.

The city established the Mountain Architecture Institute in 2002, which developed building codes specifically designed for steep-slope construction. These regulations emphasized structural safety while encouraging architectural innovation appropriate to the terrain. The institute also created certification programs for architects and engineers specialized in mountain urban development.

Economically, Chongqing's leadership recognized that the city's unique development approach could itself become an exportable expertise. The Chongqing Mountain Planning Consultancy was established in 2004, offering planning and design services to other mountainous cities in China and internationally. By 2005, this consultancy was working on projects in a dozen cities across Asia, generating significant revenue while spreading Chongqing's planning innovations.

While these early years saw substantial experimentation and occasional failures, by 2005, Chongqing had established a coherent alternative to conventional Chinese urban development—one that worked with the mountains rather than against them. The city had begun to develop a distinctive identity as China's laboratory for sustainable mountain urbanism, setting the stage for more profound transformations in the decades to come.

Long-term Impact

Transformation of the Urban Landscape (2005-2015)

Over the decade following the initial implementation of Chongqing's alternative planning approach, the city's physical form evolved in dramatically different ways from our timeline. Rather than a conventional sprawling metropolis with districts of similar-looking high-rises, Chongqing developed a polycentric structure of distinct mountain neighborhoods, each with its unique character determined by its specific topography.

Mountain-Responsive Architecture

By 2010, a distinctive "Chongqing School" of architecture had emerged, characterized by buildings that embraced rather than fought the mountainous terrain. Signature projects included:

  • The Cascade Complex (completed 2008): A mixed-use development that stepped down a steep hillside, with each level featuring garden terraces that collected and filtered rainwater before channeling it to lower levels.
  • Nanshan Bridge-Buildings (completed 2010): Rather than constructing separate bridges and buildings, these innovative structures served both functions simultaneously, spanning valleys while housing commercial and residential spaces.
  • The Jialing Vertical Village (completed 2012): A high-density residential development that climbed a steep slope, connected internally by a series of public escalators and elevators while maintaining human scale through its division into "neighborhood clusters."

This architectural approach gained international recognition, with Chongqing architects winning major global awards and exporting their expertise to mountainous regions worldwide. By 2015, "mountain-responsive architecture" had become a recognized specialty in global architectural education, with Chongqing universities offering the premier programs in this field.

Preserved Ecological Systems

Unlike in our timeline, where development frequently leveled mountains and filled valleys, Chongqing's alternative approach preserved much of its natural topography. The city implemented a comprehensive "Mountain-River Protection Network" that designated key geological features, waterways, and ecosystems as permanent natural infrastructure.

This network served multiple functions: providing ecological services like stormwater management and temperature regulation, creating recreational spaces accessible from urban areas, and preserving the dramatic natural scenery that gave Chongqing its distinctive character. By 2015, approximately 35% of the municipality's area within the urban growth boundary remained protected natural space—significantly higher than comparable Chinese cities.

The preservation of natural watercourses proved particularly consequential. Rather than channelizing streams into concrete conduits as in most Chinese cities, Chongqing maintained natural stream corridors as "blue-green arteries" through urban areas. During the major floods of 2013, Chongqing suffered significantly less damage than other Yangtze basin cities, demonstrating the resilience benefits of this approach.

Socioeconomic Transformations (2010-2020)

Chongqing's alternative development pattern catalyzed profound social and economic changes that distinguished it from other Chinese megacities.

Economic Diversification

While manufacturing remained important, Chongqing's distinctive urban environment attracted creative industries, technology companies, and educational institutions seeking alternatives to conventional Chinese urban settings. The city established specialized innovation districts leveraging its unique topography:

  • The Liangjiang Vertical Innovation District (established 2011): A technology hub built into a steep hillside, where buildings at different elevations specialized in different sectors of the innovation economy, connected by high-capacity public vertical transportation.
  • The Nanshan University Town (completed 2014): Unlike the isolated campus developments common in China, this education district integrated multiple universities into the mountain landscape and adjacent urban neighborhoods, creating a permeable boundary between academic and city life.

By 2020, Chongqing had developed a more diverse economic base than in our timeline, with higher percentages of employment in design, technology, education, and mountain-specialized engineering services. The city became China's center for environmental technology companies, particularly those focused on water management, slope stabilization, and climate resilience.

Social Integration and Reduced Inequality

The neighborhood-based development pattern fostered greater social integration than typical Chinese urban forms. Each mountain neighborhood contained a mix of housing types at different price points, reducing the spatial segregation by income common in our timeline. The integration of former rural residents from the Three Gorges resettlement into mountain communities rather than isolated housing blocks facilitated their successful transition to urban life.

The emphasis on public transportation rather than private vehicles significantly reduced transportation costs for lower-income residents. The comprehensive vertical transportation network ensured that elevated locations—which often offered better views and air quality—remained accessible to all residents rather than becoming exclusive enclaves for the wealthy.

By 2018, studies showed that Chongqing had lower levels of socioeconomic segregation than comparable Chinese cities, with better economic mobility for migrants and lower-income residents. The city's distinctive urban form had created more opportunities for social mixing and reduced the isolation of disadvantaged communities.

Global Influence and Replication (2015-2025)

By the mid-2010s, Chongqing's alternative development model had begun influencing urban planning practices globally, particularly in mountainous regions facing rapid urbanization.

Regional Influence Within China

Other Chinese mountain cities—including Guiyang, Kunming, and Lanzhou—began adopting elements of the "Chongqing Model." The central government, recognizing the environmental and economic benefits of this approach, established the Mountain Urbanization Initiative in 2017, providing resources for other Chinese cities to implement geography-responsive planning strategies.

This shift proved particularly significant as China's urbanization push moved increasingly into the mountainous western regions. Rather than imposing flatland-oriented development patterns on challenging terrain, these cities could draw on Chongqing's two decades of experience in mountain-adapted urbanism.

International Adoption

Internationally, the "Chongqing Approach" gained traction in rapidly urbanizing mountainous regions across Asia, Latin America, and Africa. By 2022, elements of Chongqing's planning model had been implemented in cities including:

  • Kathmandu, Nepal, which redesigned its post-earthquake reconstruction around mountain-responsive principles
  • Medellín, Colombia, which expanded its cable car system and vertical public transportation following Chongqing's example
  • Kigali, Rwanda, which adopted contour-based zoning and development regulations inspired by Chongqing's approach

The Chongqing Mountain City Planning Institute, established in 2016, became a global center for training urban planners from mountainous regions worldwide. By 2025, over 1,000 planners from 45 countries had completed its certification program, spreading Chongqing's innovations to mountainous cities on every continent.

Environmental and Climate Resilience (2020-2025)

Perhaps the most significant long-term impact emerged in Chongqing's environmental performance and climate resilience.

The preservation of natural vegetation on steep slopes dramatically reduced landslide risks compared to conventional development patterns. When major landslides affected other Chinese mountain cities following the extreme rainfall events of 2020 and 2022, Chongqing experienced significantly fewer casualties and less infrastructure damage.

The city's integrated blue-green infrastructure—preserving natural waterways and vegetated areas—improved stormwater management and reduced urban flooding. The water management systems initially designed for Chongqing's topography proved highly effective for climate adaptation as precipitation patterns became more extreme.

By preserving mountain forests and limiting extensive earth-moving operations, Chongqing maintained substantially lower carbon emissions than in our timeline. A 2023 comparative study found that Chongqing's per capita carbon emissions were approximately 28% lower than comparable Chinese cities, while its air quality metrics showed significant improvement despite continued industrial activity.

Perhaps most importantly, by 2025, Chongqing had demonstrated that rapid urbanization in challenging mountainous terrain could proceed without the massive environmental disruption typically associated with Chinese urban development. The city had become a global model for ecologically integrated urban growth—proving that cities could develop in harmony with their natural setting rather than in opposition to it, a lesson increasingly valuable in an era of climate change and environmental stress.

Expert Opinions

Dr. Wei Xiaoping, Professor of Sustainable Urban Systems at Tsinghua University and former consultant to Chongqing's Mountain City Planning Commission, offers this perspective: "What makes the alternate Chongqing development model so significant is not just its technical innovations, but its philosophical reorientation. Rather than seeing the mountainous topography as an obstacle to be overcome—the dominant view in Chinese urban development—this approach recognized geography as a fundamental asset that could generate unique urban forms and experiences. The lesson extends far beyond mountainous contexts; it demonstrates that working with natural systems rather than against them can create cities that are not only more sustainable but also more economically vibrant and socially equitable. Had Chongqing followed this path, it might have pioneered an alternative model for Chinese urbanization at a crucial historical moment when patterns were being established that would shape hundreds of cities."

Professor Maria Hernandez, Director of the Mountain Cities Network at the Urban Future Institute, provides a different analysis: "The most revolutionary aspect of this alternate Chongqing scenario isn't the physical infrastructure or even the environmental benefits—it's the governance innovation. By establishing special planning authorities and regulatory frameworks specifically designed for mountainous contexts, this approach created institutional structures that could effectively manage three-dimensional urban complexity. Conventional urban governance models, developed for relatively flat terrains, prove inadequate for the multi-layered challenges of mountain urbanism. The hypothetical Chongqing model suggests how governance structures might evolve to match geographical complexity. This is particularly relevant as cities worldwide face increasing three-dimensional complexity due to climate adaptation needs, even in relatively flat settings. The vertical governance innovations pioneered in this alternate Chongqing could have broad applications for urban resilience globally."

Li Jianhua, Chief Economist at the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and specialist in developmental economics, contextualizes the economic implications: "The counterfactual Chongqing development model represents a potential 'third way' in Chinese urbanization—neither the high-environmental-impact, rapid-growth model that dominated early 21st century development, nor a restrictive conservation approach that might have limited economic opportunities. By aligning economic development with geographical realities, this alternative approach could potentially have delivered more sustainable growth without sacrificing prosperity. Our economic modeling suggests that while initial infrastructure costs might have been higher in such a scenario, the long-term economic benefits through reduced environmental remediation costs, lower transportation infrastructure maintenance, enhanced disaster resilience, and development of exportable expertise would likely have yielded higher economic returns over a 30-year timeframe. This alternate history offers an important lesson about the false economy of geographically inappropriate development patterns."

Further Reading